Match page
Public matchup breakdown
This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.
Setka Cup
58 meetings · Last meeting Oct 4, 12:30 AM · Last total 90
Quick read
Over 74.5 has the cleaner read
Across 19 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 82% and Under 74.5 18%. Recent results are 82% over and 18% under, with an average total of 79.3 and 76% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.
Set flow
Split & Sweep Analysis
11 loaded meetings out of 58 tracked.
Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.
Split rate
Both win 1+ set
91%
10/11
Sweep rate
3-0 finishes
9%
1/11
Set 1 win rate
Vladyslav Kovalchuk7/11
Yaroslav Tebenko4/11
When Vladyslav Kovalchuk Wins S1
S2 Yaroslav Tebenko (Split)
43%3/7
3-0 Vladyslav Kovalchuk (Sweep)
14%1/7
ML Vladyslav Kovalchuk
71%5/7
When Yaroslav Tebenko Wins S1
S2 Vladyslav Kovalchuk (Split)
75%3/4
3-0 Yaroslav Tebenko (Sweep)
0%0/4
ML Yaroslav Tebenko
50%2/4
Post-split ML
Vladyslav Kovalchuk 60%6/10
|Yaroslav Tebenko 40%4/10
Pressure
Match Spread
Using 11 loaded meetings out of 58 tracked.
Margin target
Any match result
Win by 7.5+ pts
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
27%
3/11 meetings cleared the line
Yaroslav Tebenko
9%
1/11 meetings cleared the line
Victory margin
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Average
7.4 pts
Median
7 pts
Yaroslav Tebenko
Average
7.8 pts
Median
7 pts
Execution
Close-Out Analysis
Using 11 loaded meetings out of 58 tracked.
27 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
13/18 total close-outs
72%
Up 2-0
75% 3/4
Up 2-1
75% 6/8
Tied 2-2
67% 4/6
Yaroslav Tebenko
5/9 total close-outs
56%
Up 2-0
100% 1/1
Up 2-1
100% 2/2
Tied 2-2
33% 2/6
Set edge
Set Spread
Using 11 loaded meetings out of 58 tracked.
49 sets in scope
Set #
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
-1.5
55% 27/49
-2.5
31% 15/49
-3.5
22% 11/49
-4.5
14% 7/49
Yaroslav Tebenko
-1.5
45% 22/49
-2.5
35% 17/49
-3.5
18% 9/49
-4.5
12% 6/49
Actionable plays
The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below
Set play
Attack S2 and keep S3 live
S1 losers answer in S2 at 43% when Vladyslav Kovalchuk takes the opener and 75% when Yaroslav Tebenko does. With 76% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.
Match total
Over 74.5 is playable pre-match
Over hits 82% on the loaded sample with recent 82% and the line sitting 4.8 pts below the matchup average. Trend 0%.
Side / ML
Pass the side pre-match
Series, form, and late-match signals do not line up strongly enough on one player. Better handled live than forced before first serve.
Live trigger
If Yaroslav Tebenko wins S1, look Vladyslav Kovalchuk in S2
Vladyslav Kovalchuk answers in set 2 75% of the time (3/4) when Yaroslav Tebenko takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.
Form vs field
Recent form across all opponents
This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.
Recent record
Win rate
Avg total
Avg margin
Current streak
Over 74.5
Matchup read
Series pulse
This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.
Series record
12% / 7% win rate
Vladyslav Kovalchuk 7-4 Yaroslav Tebenko
Current streak
Vladyslav Kovalchuk 2
Recent 5 split
Vladyslav Kovalchuk / Yaroslav Tebenko
2-3
Sweep vs split
Sweep rate / split rate · 11-match loaded sample
9% / 91%
Match texture
4+ sets / overtime
76% / 36%
Risk profile
36% consistency
37 pt range
Avg win margin
Vladyslav Kovalchuk / Yaroslav Tebenko
7.4 / 7.8
Rolling windows
Last 5 / 10 / 20
This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.
Last 5
5 matches · avg 86.4 total · 100% 4+ sets
100% O / 0% U
Last 10
10 matches · avg 82.7 total · 90% 4+ sets
80% O / 20% U
Last 20
11 matches · avg 82.8 total · 91% 4+ sets
82% O / 18% U
Upcoming
Other scheduled matches for these players
Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.
Yaroslav Tebenko vs Yurii Parahailo
Setka Cup · 42 meetings
Oct 12, 6:35 AM
Maksym Khomenko vs Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Setka Cup · 50 meetings
Oct 12, 7:05 AM
Oleksandr Alieksieev vs Yaroslav Tebenko
Setka Cup · 3 meetings
Oct 12, 7:35 AM
Vladyslav Kovalchuk vs Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Setka Cup · 89 meetings
Oct 12, 8:05 AM
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
OpenClose
Recent logs
Last five for each player
Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
L vs Oleksandr Storozhenko
Setka Cup · Oct 11, 6:35 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Oleksandr Alieksieev
Setka Cup · Oct 11, 4:35 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Yurii Parahailo
Setka Cup · Oct 11, 3:35 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Maksym Khomenko
Setka Cup · Oct 11, 2:35 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Setka Cup · Oct 11, 1:05 PM
0
0 pts
Yaroslav Tebenko
L vs Ivan Pytsko
Setka Cup · Oct 10, 2:30 AM
0
0 pts
W vs Denys Maltsev
Setka Cup · Oct 10, 12:30 AM
0
0 pts
L vs Mykhailo Potapov
Setka Cup · Oct 9, 11:30 PM
0
0 pts
W vs Oleksandr Budnikov
Setka Cup · Oct 9, 10:30 PM
0
0 pts
L vs Dmytro Palii
Setka Cup · Oct 9, 9:00 PM
0
0 pts