Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Setka Cup

98 meetings · Last meeting Apr 20, 8:20 AM · Last total 91

TimeOct 12, 6:35 AM
Meetings98

Quick read

Over 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 95 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 62% and Under 74.5 38%. Recent results are 70% over and 30% under, with an average total of 78.3 and 69% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Over 62%Set market is playable, not automatic
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 95 totals
RecentO 70% / U 30%
Texture4+ 69% · Sweep 31%
TrendOver 62% · +8%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

47 loaded meetings out of 98 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

70%

33/47

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

30%

14/47

Set 1 win rate

49%
51%

Oleksandr Leonenko23/47

Serhii Solomko24/47

When Oleksandr Leonenko Wins S1

S2 Serhii Solomko (Split)

48%11/23

3-0 Oleksandr Leonenko (Sweep)

26%6/23

ML Oleksandr Leonenko

65%15/23

When Serhii Solomko Wins S1

S2 Oleksandr Leonenko (Split)

42%10/24

3-0 Serhii Solomko (Sweep)

33%8/24

ML Serhii Solomko

63%15/24

Post-split ML

Oleksandr Leonenko 55%18/33

|

Serhii Solomko 45%15/33

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 47 loaded meetings out of 98 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Oleksandr Leonenko

17%

8/47 meetings cleared the line

Serhii Solomko

28%

13/47 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Oleksandr Leonenko

Average

5.9 pts

Median

5.5 pts

Serhii Solomko

Average

8.8 pts

Median

8 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 47 loaded meetings out of 98 tracked.

95 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Oleksandr Leonenko

33/44 total close-outs

75%

Up 2-0

92% 11/12

Up 2-1

86% 12/14

Tied 2-2

56% 10/18

Serhii Solomko

32/51 total close-outs

63%

Up 2-0

79% 11/14

Up 2-1

68% 13/19

Tied 2-2

44% 8/18

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 47 loaded meetings out of 98 tracked.

192 sets in scope

Set #

Oleksandr Leonenko

-1.5

49% 94/192

-2.5

26% 49/192

-3.5

17% 33/192

-4.5

10% 19/192

Serhii Solomko

-1.5

51% 97/192

-2.5

32% 61/192

-3.5

24% 47/192

-4.5

16% 31/192

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Set market is playable, not automatic

39% splits keep second-set turns available, but 31% sweeps still cap the ceiling. Treat this as a selective set angle, not a blind ladder.

Pass

Match total

Over 74.5 is playable pre-match

Over hits 62% on the loaded sample with recent 70% and the line sitting 3.8 pts below the matchup average. Trend +8%.

Playable

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Serhii Solomko

Recent form 65% win rate · 4-match streak. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Playable

Live trigger

No strong scripted live angle

The opener does not produce a clear enough split-back, ML follow-through, or sweep continuation signal to pre-plan a live bet.

Pass

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Oleksandr Leonenko
Serhii Solomko

Recent record

11-9
13-7

Win rate

55%
65%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

L2
W4

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

24% / 23% win rate

Oleksandr Leonenko 24-23 Serhii Solomko

Current streak

Serhii Solomko 4

Recent 5 split

Oleksandr Leonenko / Serhii Solomko

1-4

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 47-match loaded sample

30% / 70%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

69% / 72%

Risk profile

26% consistency

59 pt range

Avg win margin

Oleksandr Leonenko / Serhii Solomko

5.9 / 8.8

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 82.4 total · 80% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 75.9 total · 60% 4+ sets

50% O / 50% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 82.5 total · 75% 4+ sets

70% O / 30% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Oleksandr Leonenko

L vs Ihor Emets

Setka Cup · Oct 8, 11:50 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Stepan Hryhorenko

Setka Cup · Oct 8, 10:20 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Maksym Stetsenko

Setka Cup · Oct 8, 8:50 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Serhii Solomko

Setka Cup · Oct 8, 7:20 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Oleh Volynets

Setka Cup · Oct 8, 5:50 AM

0

0 pts

Serhii Solomko

W vs Eduard Populovskyi

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 12:50 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Dmytro Patalakha

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 10:50 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Maksym Stetsenko

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 8:50 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Serhii Baranskyi

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 7:50 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Bohdan Zaika

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 6:50 AM

0

0 pts