Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Setka Cup

63 meetings · Last meeting Jun 14, 2:00 AM · Last total 96

TimeOct 12, 5:05 AM
Meetings63
Winner7.00 / 1.08

Quick read

Over 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 52 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 54% and Under 74.5 46%. Recent results are 60% over and 40% under, with an average total of 76.4 and 83% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Low sweep 17%Attack S2 and keep S3 live
Line74.5
SampleRobust · 52 totals
RecentO 60% / U 40%
Texture4+ 83% · Sweep 17%
TrendOver 54% · +6%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

39 loaded meetings out of 63 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

77%

30/39

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

23%

9/39

Set 1 win rate

44%
56%

Maksym Khomenko17/39

Dmytro Shchegelskyi22/39

When Maksym Khomenko Wins S1

S2 Dmytro Shchegelskyi (Split)

71%12/17

3-0 Maksym Khomenko (Sweep)

12%2/17

ML Maksym Khomenko

29%5/17

When Dmytro Shchegelskyi Wins S1

S2 Maksym Khomenko (Split)

50%11/22

3-0 Dmytro Shchegelskyi (Sweep)

32%7/22

ML Dmytro Shchegelskyi

91%20/22

Post-split ML

Maksym Khomenko 17%5/30

|

Dmytro Shchegelskyi 83%25/30

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 39 loaded meetings out of 63 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Maksym Khomenko

10%

4/39 meetings cleared the line

Dmytro Shchegelskyi

38%

15/39 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Maksym Khomenko

Average

8.1 pts

Median

8 pts

Dmytro Shchegelskyi

Average

7 pts

Median

7 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 39 loaded meetings out of 63 tracked.

74 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Maksym Khomenko

10/31 total close-outs

32%

Up 2-0

60% 3/5

Up 2-1

42% 5/12

Tied 2-2

14% 2/14

Dmytro Shchegelskyi

41/43 total close-outs

95%

Up 2-0

100% 11/11

Up 2-1

100% 18/18

Tied 2-2

86% 12/14

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 39 loaded meetings out of 63 tracked.

161 sets in scope

Set #

Maksym Khomenko

-1.5

35% 57/161

-2.5

25% 41/161

-3.5

22% 35/161

-4.5

16% 26/161

Dmytro Shchegelskyi

-1.5

63% 102/161

-2.5

45% 73/161

-3.5

34% 55/161

-4.5

23% 37/161

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

Attack S2 and keep S3 live

S1 losers answer in S2 at 71% when Maksym Khomenko takes the opener and 50% when Dmytro Shchegelskyi does. With 83% of meetings reaching 4+ sets, this plays more like an S2 / S3 match than a sweep script.

Strong

Match total

Small over lean, not a must-play

Over leads 54% on Robust sample, but the gap is still narrow enough that live pace matters more than the raw board number.

Pass

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Dmytro Shchegelskyi

Series share 73% across 63 tracked · recent form 65% win rate · close-out 95% · 11-match streak. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Strong

Live trigger

If Maksym Khomenko wins S1, look Dmytro Shchegelskyi in S2

Dmytro Shchegelskyi answers in set 2 71% of the time (12/17) when Maksym Khomenko takes the opener. If the match splits 1-1, keep S3 markets live instead of anchoring to a sweep.

Playable

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Maksym Khomenko
Dmytro Shchegelskyi

Recent record

9-11
13-7

Win rate

45%
65%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

L2
W2

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

11% / 51% win rate

Maksym Khomenko 7-32 Dmytro Shchegelskyi

Current streak

Dmytro Shchegelskyi 11

Recent 5 split

Maksym Khomenko / Dmytro Shchegelskyi

0-5

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 39-match loaded sample

23% / 77%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

83% / 49%

Risk profile

31% consistency

58 pt range

Avg win margin

Maksym Khomenko / Dmytro Shchegelskyi

8.1 / 7

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 86.2 total · 80% 4+ sets

80% O / 20% U

Last 10

10 matches · avg 78.6 total · 70% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Last 20

20 matches · avg 76.3 total · 70% 4+ sets

60% O / 40% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Maksym Khomenko

L vs Oleksandr Alieksieev

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 6:05 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Dmytro Shchegelskyi

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 5:05 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Oleksandr Storozhenko

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 4:05 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Vladyslav Kovalchuk

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 2:35 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Yurii Parahailo

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 12:35 PM

0

0 pts

Dmytro Shchegelskyi

W vs Yurii Parahailo

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 7:05 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Maksym Khomenko

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 5:05 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Oleksandr Alieksieev

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 3:05 PM

0

0 pts

W vs Oleksandr Storozhenko

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 2:05 PM

0

0 pts

L vs Vladyslav Kovalchuk

Setka Cup · Oct 11, 1:05 PM

0

0 pts