Match page

Public matchup breakdown

This page pulls the full stored matchup history, then layers on current-board timing and market context when it exists.

Czech Liga Pro

24 meetings · Last meeting Oct 6, 9:30 AM · Last total 84

TimeOct 12, 6:30 AM
Meetings24

Quick read

Over 74.5 has the cleaner read

Across 8 scored totals, this matchup is Over 74.5 63% and Under 74.5 38%. Recent results are 63% over and 38% under, with an average total of 79.1 and 75% of meetings reaching 4+ sets.

Low sweep 25%S3 stays live in this profile
Line74.5
SampleUsable · 8 totals
RecentO 63% / U 38%
Texture4+ 75% · Sweep 25%
TrendOver 63% · 0%

Set flow

Split & Sweep Analysis

8 loaded meetings out of 24 tracked.

Split means both players won at least one set. Sweep means a 3-0 finish.

Split rate

Both win 1+ set

88%

7/8

Sweep rate

3-0 finishes

13%

1/8

Set 1 win rate

38%
63%

Ladislav Novotny3/8

Milan Smesny5/8

When Ladislav Novotny Wins S1

S2 Milan Smesny (Split)

100%3/3

3-0 Ladislav Novotny (Sweep)

0%0/3

ML Ladislav Novotny

33%1/3

When Milan Smesny Wins S1

S2 Ladislav Novotny (Split)

80%4/5

3-0 Milan Smesny (Sweep)

20%1/5

ML Milan Smesny

80%4/5

Post-split ML

Ladislav Novotny 29%2/7

|

Milan Smesny 71%5/7

Pressure

Match Spread

Using 8 loaded meetings out of 24 tracked.

Margin target

Any match result

Win by 7.5+ pts

0.57.514.5

Ladislav Novotny

0%

0/8 meetings cleared the line

Milan Smesny

38%

3/8 meetings cleared the line

Victory margin

Ladislav Novotny

Average

4.5 pts

Median

4.5 pts

Milan Smesny

Average

9 pts

Median

7.5 pts

Execution

Close-Out Analysis

Using 8 loaded meetings out of 24 tracked.

16 late-set close-out spots across the loaded meetings in view.

Ladislav Novotny

3/8 total close-outs

38%

Up 2-0

0% 0/0

Up 2-1

50% 2/4

Tied 2-2

25% 1/4

Milan Smesny

7/8 total close-outs

88%

Up 2-0

100% 1/1

Up 2-1

100% 3/3

Tied 2-2

75% 3/4

Set edge

Set Spread

Using 8 loaded meetings out of 24 tracked.

35 sets in scope

Set #

Ladislav Novotny

-1.5

40% 14/35

-2.5

26% 9/35

-3.5

20% 7/35

-4.5

14% 5/35

Milan Smesny

-1.5

60% 21/35

-2.5

51% 18/35

-3.5

43% 15/35

-4.5

29% 10/35

Actionable plays

The same match-read language as home, then the deeper tabs below

Set play

S3 stays live in this profile

25% sweeps with 46% splits and 75% 4+ sets point more toward middle-set markets than a quick 3-0 finish.

Strong

Match total

Over 74.5 is playable pre-match

Over hits 63% on the loaded sample with recent 63% and the line sitting 4.6 pts below the matchup average. Trend 0%.

Playable

Side / ML

Small ML lean to Milan Smesny

Series share 75% across 24 tracked · close-out 88%. This is a side lean, not a must-bet without a friendly number.

Playable

Live trigger

Back Milan Smesny live after an S1 win

Milan Smesny converts 80% of matches after winning set 1 (4/5).

Strong

Form vs field

Recent form across all opponents

This is the fastest check for whether the matchup is lining up with broader player shape.

Metric
Ladislav Novotny
Milan Smesny

Recent record

13-7
9-11

Win rate

65%
45%

Avg total

0
0

Avg margin

0
0

Current streak

L2
L2

Over 74.5

0%
0%

Matchup read

Series pulse

This compresses the head-to-head sample into the few numbers that actually matter.

Series record

8% / 25% win rate

Ladislav Novotny 2-6 Milan Smesny

Current streak

Milan Smesny 2

Recent 5 split

Ladislav Novotny / Milan Smesny

2-3

Sweep vs split

Sweep rate / split rate · 8-match loaded sample

13% / 88%

Match texture

4+ sets / overtime

75% / 25%

Risk profile

25% consistency

42 pt range

Avg win margin

Ladislav Novotny / Milan Smesny

4.5 / 9

Rolling windows

Last 5 / 10 / 20

This gives the same quick compression bettors look for when the full sample and the recent sample disagree.

Last 5

5 matches · avg 83.4 total · 100% 4+ sets

80% O / 20% U

Last 10

8 matches · avg 79.1 total · 88% 4+ sets

63% O / 38% U

Last 20

8 matches · avg 79.1 total · 88% 4+ sets

63% O / 38% U

Upcoming

Other scheduled matches for these players

Use this to see whether either player is about to reappear elsewhere on the slate.

Recent logs

Last five for each player

Open this only when the summary looks close and you want to inspect the path each player took into the matchup.

Open

Ladislav Novotny

L vs Jiri Svec

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 7, 9:30 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Jiri Svec

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 7, 8:00 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Jan Potensky

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 7, 7:00 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Milan Vrabec

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 7, 6:30 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Milan Smesny

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 6, 9:30 AM

0

0 pts

Milan Smesny

L vs Jiri Hyrsl

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 11, 9:30 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Milan Vrabec

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 11, 8:30 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Jiri Hyrsl

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 11, 7:30 AM

0

0 pts

W vs Vojtech Stach

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 11, 6:30 AM

0

0 pts

L vs Milan Vrabec

Czech Liga Pro · Oct 9, 9:00 AM

0

0 pts

Ladislav Novotny vs Milan Smesny | Table Tennis Splits